$4tr in Middle East Capital Eyes Equity Investments

DUBAI — Led by Abu Dhabi Investment Authority — the world's largest Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) with estimated assets of $875 billion — up to $4 trillion capital available for investment from the Middle East is increasingly targeting equity investments around the globe.

According to a global management consulting firm, the region's high private and public sector investment power, bolstered by rising oil revenues and increasing foreign exchanges reserves, is underpinned by SWFs which currently have a combined $3.3 trillion assets under management, up 18 per cent between 2006 and 2007.

With the Middle East based SWFs currently accounting for 50 per cent, global assets under the management of these funds are expected to reach $5 trillion in 2010 and $10 to $ 15 trillion in 2015.

"This dramatic growth is supported by rising oil revenues and by increasing foreign exchanges reserves of some Asian countries. The objectives of these funds are to protect the budget and the economy from excess volatility in exports and / or to diversify from non renewable commodity exports," said A.T. Kearney in its latest report.

"With the rapid growth of assets, SWFs are under growing pressure to invest. They have accomplished a strategic shift in the way the money is being invested," Kearney said. Traditionally, countries turned their surpluses into risk-averse financial assets. China, for example, supported the US consumption economy by buying government bonds. SWF are now favouring equity-type investments to benefit from higher revenues and to gain exposure to strategic companies with more capabilities and know-how in industries that are crucial to their own economies.

"With the world's biggest Sovereign Wealth Fund — the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA) — as one example, the UAE is moving towards these private equity-style deals," the report said.

Kuwait Financial Centre (KFC) in a recent research titled "The Golden Portfolio," said in the GCC 36 SWFs hold 131 Gulf-listed companies accounting for 27 per cent of region's market capitalisation valued at $300 billion.

KFC's Head of Research M. R. Raghu, and Sarah Al Khaled, an analyst, pointed out that apart from the big and most quoted names like ADIA or Kuwait Investment Authority (KIA), SWFs also include a variety of government agencies that manage money either directly or indirectly. The categories may include pension funds, ministries, fully owned companies.

The report said SWFs could also be an opportunity for developed countries, when most of their economies are slowing down. "In the short-term, the SWF can help to absorb the liquidity crisis; in the long run, they will be valuable partners for Western companies to back their growth and to finance innovation," said Cyril Garbois, Principal and expert for SWF, A.T. Kearney Dubai. Early this year, SWF from Asia and Middle East injected billions of dollars of new capital into troubled financial institutions and contributed this way to the stability of the whole system.

"Because of this new way to invest, concern about the political purpose and influence of these funds, and developing countries' investors in general, has risen among Western countries. The criticisms raised when Dubai Ports World planned to purchase operating rights to several US ports through the acquisition of P&O, or when the Chinese energy firm CNOOC tried to buy Unocal, are vivid examples. International bodies such as the International Monetary Fund and OECD are working on rules to prevent discrimination against SWF but also to answer to the need of more transparency in their investment processes," the report pointed out.

The rising power of the regional SWF and their private equity oriented investments are also an opportunity for the Middle East economy itself. The study revealed that private equity and SWF investments accelerate the growth of job creations. "More than one million jobs have been created through private equity investments in Europe in the last four years" said Dr. Dirk Buchta, Managing Director, A.T. Kearney Middle East.

"With $4 trillion available in the Middle East for investment and very healthy SWFs, the outlook for economic development in the region is very positive," said Dr. Alexander von Pock, Manager of Financial Services, A.T. Kearney Middle East.

The report shows that companies financed by private equity and SWF grow faster than those traditionally financed. Private equity firms often invest in mid-size companies, mostly former family owned businesses — of which the Middle East has many

By Issac John